Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-14 0.192839 0.227080 0.265326 0.311170 0.364587 0.424827 0.497880
2025-09-21 0.139260 0.182609 0.236139 0.306932 0.397928 0.510787 0.661221
2025-09-28 0.109797 0.156023 0.217528 0.305006 0.425852 0.586500 0.815829
2025-10-05 0.095502 0.144927 0.214814 0.320254 0.474634 0.691614 1.018805
2025-10-12 0.086062 0.138261 0.216058 0.339552 0.529614 0.809751 1.252349
2025-10-19 0.076325 0.129132 0.211675 0.348856 0.569663 0.909280 1.468668
2025-10-26 0.066685 0.118382 0.202837 0.349275 0.594919 0.987793 1.660042
2025-11-02 0.056854 0.105647 0.188760 0.338760 0.600352 1.034359 1.803963
2025-11-09 0.047867 0.092918 0.172783 0.322521 0.593468 1.058862 1.912382
2025-11-16 0.042723 0.086347 0.166580 0.322373 0.613965 1.130956 2.108666
2025-11-23 0.037198 0.078201 0.156361 0.313385 0.617065 1.172235 2.253695
2025-11-30 0.034216 0.074600 0.154168 0.319113 0.647853 1.265945 2.503028
2025-12-07 0.030739 0.069729 0.149360 0.320141 0.671760 1.353185 2.757351
2025-12-14 0.027083 0.063947 0.142009 0.315249 0.683755 1.419861 2.981492
2025-12-21 0.024186 0.059349 0.136442 0.313223 0.701156 1.498746 3.238271
2025-12-28 0.023039 0.058560 0.138948 0.328860 0.757568 1.662335 3.685615
2026-01-04 0.022265 0.058526 0.143105 0.348657 0.825280 1.856353 4.217220
2026-01-11 0.020847 0.056680 0.142825 0.358200 0.871147 2.008465 4.674523
2026-01-18 0.019019 0.053491 0.138917 0.358630 0.896073 2.117289 5.047685
2026-01-25 0.016785 0.048865 0.130847 0.347844 0.893178 2.163369 5.283886
2026-02-01 0.014537 0.043813 0.120977 0.331186 0.873916 2.169641 5.428395
2026-02-08 0.013322 0.041450 0.117720 0.331033 0.895525 2.273860 5.815110
2026-02-15 0.011853 0.038100 0.111357 0.321814 0.892878 2.319453 6.064708